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Blog : Volume Surge: Spotting Market Moves Before They Happen

Volume Surge: Spotting Market Moves Before They Happen

Published on 07 April 2024

Why Volume Matters More Than You Think in Trading

Traders love to focus on price charts—candlesticks, support and resistance, indicators flashing buy and sell signals. But price is only half the story. The real fuel of market moves is volume. Without it, price action is like a car without petrol—it might roll a little, but it won’t go far.

The Psychology Behind Volume

Every bar of volume represents buyers and sellers voting with their money. When volume spikes, it tells us something important: more people suddenly care about this stock. Sometimes that’s because of news or earnings, other times it’s simply momentum catching fire. But behind the numbers is human behavior—greed, fear, and institutional positioning.

Think back to Tesla in 2020. Before each major rally, the stock didn’t just drift higher on light activity—it exploded in both price and volume. That wasn’t retail traders alone; that was big funds stepping in, accumulating aggressively. Spotting that shift early gave traders a head start before the crowd piled in.

Reading Volume the Right Way

The trick is learning how to read volume in context:

  • Volume with Breakouts: A breakout above resistance means little unless it’s backed by strong volume. When buyers show up en masse, that breakout has conviction.

  • Volume Divergences: If price is rising but volume is fading, the rally may be running out of steam. On the flip side, if volume is building while price looks flat, it can be a coiled spring ready to move.

  • Volume in Selloffs: Heavy selling volume often signals panic—and opportunity. In March 2020, stocks were being dumped at record levels. Traders who saw the capitulation volume knew a rebound wasn’t far off.

Indicators like On-Balance Volume (OBV) or the Accumulation/Distribution Line (A/D Line) help make these patterns clearer. But at their core, they’re just ways of asking: Is money really flowing in, or quietly flowing out?

A Word of Caution

Not all volume spikes are equal. Some are false alarms—caused by a stock split, a single news headline, or an algorithm pushing orders. That’s why volume analysis works best when paired with price action. Confirmation is everything.

A simple but effective approach many traders use is the breakout confirmation method: wait for price to break resistance on high volume, then enter after the retest when old resistance turns into new support. It’s a patient play, but it filters out a lot of false moves.

Turning Volume Into Action

Volume isn’t just noise—it’s a signal of intent. It shows when the market’s energy is shifting, when traders big and small are putting real money on the table. If you can learn to read it, volume becomes less about raw numbers and more about psychology, timing, and conviction.

That’s exactly why we built Stkly’s Volume Surge Alert. It detects unusual volume spikes in real time and compares them against historical patterns, helping you distinguish genuine accumulation or distribution from one-off noise. Instead of chasing headlines or guessing, you get a timely heads-up when the market’s fuel tank is filling—or emptying fast.

Because in trading, price tells you what’s happening. But volume? That tells you why it matters.

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